Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 63.64%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 16.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 1-0 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for an ADO Den Haag win it was 1-2 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
