Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 57.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 20.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.33%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 2-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
