Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 56.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 20.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Twente in this match.