Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 67.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 14.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 1-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for an Arsenal Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Ipswich Town in this match.