COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 13, 2021 at 2pm UK
Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium
South Africa
4 - 0
Lesotho
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 58.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 17.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| South Africa | Draw | Lesotho |
| 58.59% | 23.91% | 17.5% |
| Both teams to score 44.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
