Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botswana win with a probability of 50.65%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Seychelles had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botswana win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.16%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Seychelles win it was 1-0 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Botswana in this match.