Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 53.18%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 22.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
