Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 35.49%. A win for Huracan had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.19%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Huracan win was 0-1 (12.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
