Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for Patronato had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Patronato win was 0-1 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Huracan in this match.
