Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 44.22%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 26.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
