Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Colon and Penarol.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 47.08%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Penarol had a probability of 24.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Penarol win it was 0-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colon would win this match.