Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trinidad and Tobago win with a probability of 54.97%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Saint Vincent & the Grenadines had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Trinidad and Tobago win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Trinidad and Tobago would win this match.