Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 48.39%. A win for Guangzhou had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Guangzhou win was 2-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
