Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou Evergrande win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Shandong Luneng Taishan had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou Evergrande win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Shandong Luneng Taishan win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Guangzhou Evergrande in this match.
