MX23RW : Friday, March 22 02:32:26| >> :120:27881:27881:
Guinea-Bissau national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 22, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade de l'Amitie
Nigeria national football team

Guinea-Bissau
0 - 1
Nigeria

FT(HT: 0-1)
Sangante (36' og.)
Ajayi (44'), Onyeka (50'), Bassey (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Guinea-Bissau and Nigeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Eq Guinea 4-2 Guinea-Bissau
Thursday, January 18 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Ivory Coast 0-1 Nigeria
Thursday, January 18 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

We said: Guinea-Bissau 0-2 Nigeria

Peseiro's men should avoid complacency after beating the tournament hosts to secure a routine victory over Guinea-Bissau to end atop Group A. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 50.48%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 23.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.84%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 1-0 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nigeria in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Nigeria.

Result
Guinea-BissauDrawNigeria
23.52% (-2.382 -2.38) 25.99% (-0.969 -0.97) 50.48% (3.35 3.35)
Both teams to score 47.44% (0.515 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.28% (1.78 1.78)55.72% (-1.78 -1.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.14% (1.43 1.43)76.86% (-1.431 -1.43)
Guinea-Bissau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.93% (-1.168 -1.17)39.07% (1.167 1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.21% (-1.113 -1.11)75.79% (1.112 1.11)
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.87% (2.292 2.29)22.13% (-2.293 -2.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.49% (3.342 3.34)55.51% (-3.342 -3.34)
Score Analysis
    Guinea-Bissau 23.52%
    Nigeria 50.48%
    Draw 25.99%
Guinea-BissauDrawNigeria
1-0 @ 8.13% (-0.855 -0.86)
2-1 @ 5.76% (-0.381 -0.38)
2-0 @ 3.82% (-0.538 -0.54)
3-1 @ 1.8% (-0.181 -0.18)
3-2 @ 1.36% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.2% (-0.212 -0.21)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 23.52%
1-1 @ 12.25% (-0.4 -0.4)
0-0 @ 8.65% (-0.611 -0.61)
2-2 @ 4.34% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 13.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.84% (0.637 0.64)
1-2 @ 9.24% (0.319 0.32)
0-3 @ 4.95% (0.623 0.62)
1-3 @ 4.65% (0.454 0.45)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.149 0.15)
0-4 @ 1.86% (0.341 0.34)
1-4 @ 1.75% (0.274 0.27)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 50.48%

How you voted: Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria

Guinea-Bissau
17.1%
Draw
2.9%
Nigeria
80.0%
35
Head to Head
Mar 27, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
Guinea-Bissau
0-1
Nigeria
Simon (30' pen.)
Mar 24, 2023 4pm
Jan 19, 2022 7pm
rhs 2.0
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