Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Comoros win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Gabon had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Comoros win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Gabon win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Gabon would win this match.