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Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 36
Mar 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Salford City
Crewe
4 - 3
Salford City
Agyei (31' pen., 90'), Tabiner (40'), O'Riordan (87')
Finnigan (90+7'), Agyei (90+1'), Finnigan (90+7')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Barry (19'), Hendry (45'), Mallan (85')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sutton 1-1 Crewe
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 3-1 Newport
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 0-1 Salford City

While Crewe have picked up four points from their last four home games, Salford have accumulated the same number of points from their last four away matches, and a closely-fought contest between the two sides could be on the cards on Friday. Nevertheless, Salford will be regarded as favourites to come out on top, and they should have enough quality in the final third to breach Crewe's backline to claim a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 50.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 24.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawSalford City
24.77% (-0.367 -0.37) 25.13% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06) 50.09% (0.425 0.42)
Both teams to score 51.22% (-0.174 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.6% (-0.055 -0.05)51.4% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.78% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)73.21% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.45% (-0.34700000000001 -0.35)35.54% (0.346 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.69% (-0.36 -0.36)72.31% (0.357 0.36)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.47% (0.155 0.16)20.53% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.96% (0.247 0.25)53.03% (-0.248 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 24.77%
    Salford City 50.09%
    Draw 25.13%
Crewe AlexandraDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 7.55% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-1 @ 6.18% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-0 @ 3.9% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.13% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.35% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 24.77%
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.3% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 11.55% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.46% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 9.15% (0.107 0.11)
1-3 @ 4.99% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.83% (0.079 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.98% (0.023 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.91% (0.041 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 50.09%

How you voted: Crewe vs Salford City

Crewe Alexandra
26.9%
Draw
19.2%
Salford City
53.8%
26
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Salford City
3-0
Crewe
McAleny (17'), Thomas-Asante (50', 53')
Nartey (14'), Watt (44')

Mellor (29'), Baker-Richardson (90+2')
Sambou (31')
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
Salford City
3-1
Crewe
Towell (7'), Thomas-Asante (12'), Wintle (85' og.)
Jones (14'), Neal (40'), Touray (44')
Ng (82')
Powell (45')
Sep 21, 2019 3pm
Crewe
4-1
Salford City
Porter (50'), Lowery (57', 82'), Pickering (62')
Rooney (39')
Hughes (34')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Notts County127322721624
2Stockport CountyStockport1272323131023
3Gillingham127141112-122
4AFC Wimbledon1256120101021
5Mansfield TownMansfield12480179820
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe125522821720
7Wrexham125522423120
8Crawley TownCrawley126242020020
9Swindon TownSwindon115422718919
10Morecambe115331513218
11Accrington StanleyAccrington125251718-117
12BarrowBarrow114431312116
13Salford City125161919016
14Bradford CityBradford124441314-116
15Harrogate TownHarrogate125161113-216
16MK Dons124351718-115
17Walsall124351521-615
18Grimsby Town123541617-114
19Newport CountyNewport124262124-314
20Doncaster RoversDoncaster123271320-711
21Colchester UnitedColchester113171720-310
22Tranmere RoversTranmere123181722-510
23Sutton UnitedSutton122191626-107
24Forest Green RoversForest Green122191124-137

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