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Championship header 2

Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Bristol City

Leeds
2 - 1
Bristol City

James (37'), Piroe (53')
Rodon (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Naismith (45+4')
Williams (6'), Gardner-Hickman (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Last Game: Leeds 1-0 QPR
Wednesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

Bristol City

All competitions
Last Game: Rotherham 1-2 Bristol City
Wednesday, October 4 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-1 Bristol City

 Bristol City have impressed so far this season and will travel to Elland Road with confidence knowing they have the ability to cause problems for any side in the Championship, but we anticipate the Whites being slightly too strong in front of an Elland Road crowd and back them to narrowly come out on top at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 50.21%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 24.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Leeds United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawBristol City
50.21% (0.831 0.83) 25.1% (-0.055 -0.05) 24.69% (-0.775 -0.78)
Both teams to score 51.24% (-0.572 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.66% (-0.389 -0.39)51.34% (0.392 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.84% (-0.34 -0.34)73.16% (0.343 0.34)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.54% (0.191 0.19)20.46% (-0.19 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.08% (0.302 0.3)52.92% (-0.3 -0.3)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.41% (-0.876 -0.88)35.58% (0.877 0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.65% (-0.916 -0.92)72.35% (0.919 0.92)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 50.21%
    Bristol City 24.69%
    Draw 25.09%
Leeds UnitedDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 11.55% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.17% (0.248 0.25)
3-1 @ 5.01% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.85% (0.159 0.16)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.99% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.074 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 50.21%
1-1 @ 11.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.28% (0.114 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.52% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-2 @ 3.89% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 24.69%

How you voted: Leeds vs Bristol City

Leeds United
65.4%
Draw
23.1%
Bristol City
11.5%
26
Head to Head
Feb 15, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 33
Leeds
1-0
Bristol City
> Match Report
Aug 4, 2019 4.30pm
Gameweek 1
Bristol City
1-3
Leeds
Weimann (79')
Pack (47'), Palmer (55'), Taylor (88')
Hernandez (26'), Bamford (57'), Harrison (72')
Forshaw (48'), Hernandez (54')
> Match Report
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 36
Bristol City
0-1
Leeds

Semenyo (34'), Wright (61'), Diedhiou (81'), Webster (87')
Bamford (9')
Cooper (19'), Ayling (80'), Alioski (88'), Douglas (90')
> Match Report
Nov 24, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 18
Leeds
2-0
Bristol City
Roofe (69'), Hernandez (86')
Alioski (27')

Brownhill (20')
Brownhill (55')
Feb 18, 2018 4.30pm
Leeds
2-2
Bristol City
Lasogga (72'), Roofe (80')
Pennington (44'), Phillips (75')
Diedhiou (11'), Reid (16')
Wright (55'), Brownhill (79'), Pack (86')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds38257670284282
2Leicester CityLeicester37264774334182
3Ipswich TownIpswich38249580493181
4Southampton36227773472673
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381991059362366
6Norwich CityNorwich381871369541561
7Hull City371610115346758
8Coventry CityCoventry3715121059431657
9Preston North EndPreston37168134954-556
10Middlesbrough38166165352154
11Cardiff CityCardiff38165174351-853
12Sunderland38146184845348
13Watford381212145351248
14Bristol City38138174245-347
15Swansea CitySwansea381210164858-1046
16Millwall381110173650-1443
17Blackburn RoversBlackburn38119185164-1342
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth381011175462-841
19Stoke CityStoke38118193553-1841
20Queens Park RangersQPR381010183650-1440
21Birmingham CityBirmingham38109194259-1739
22Huddersfield TownHuddersfield38815154261-1939
23Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38115223061-3138
24Rotherham UnitedRotherham38311243077-4720
> Championship Full Table


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