Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leicester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leicester City.
Result | ||
Leicester City | Draw | Bristol City |
44.95% ( 0.27) | 25.69% ( 0.06) | 29.36% ( -0.33) |
Both teams to score 53.06% ( -0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.29% ( -0.41) | 50.71% ( 0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.39% ( -0.37) | 72.61% ( 0.37) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.49% ( -0.05) | 22.51% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.92% ( -0.07) | 56.08% ( 0.07) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.47% ( -0.45) | 31.53% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.08% ( -0.53) | 67.92% ( 0.53) |
Score Analysis |
Leicester City | Draw | Bristol City |
1-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 44.94% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.83% Total : 29.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 70 | 28 | 42 | 82 |
2 | Leicester CityLeicester | 37 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 33 | 41 | 82 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 80 | 49 | 31 | 81 |
4 | Southampton | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 73 | 47 | 26 | 73 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 66 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 61 |
7 | Hull City | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 58 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 37 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 57 |
9 | Preston North EndPreston | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 56 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 53 | 52 | 1 | 54 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 38 | 16 | 5 | 17 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 53 |
12 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 48 |
13 | Watford | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 48 |
14 | Bristol City | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 47 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 46 |
16 | Millwall | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 43 |
17 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 42 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 41 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 41 |
20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 40 |
21 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 59 | -17 | 39 |
22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 39 |
23 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 30 | 61 | -31 | 38 |
24 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 77 | -47 | 20 |
> Championship Full Table |