MX23RW : Friday, March 22 02:02:03| >> :120:11640:11640:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Wales national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Semi-Finals
Mar 21, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Finland national football team

Wales
4 - 1
Finland

Brooks (3'), Williams (38'), Johnson (47'), James (86')
James (54'), Wilson (65'), Mepham (74'), Moore (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Pukki (45')
Lod (22'), Tenho (50'), Hakans (68')

The Match

Match Report

Wales beat Finland 4-1 in Cardiff to set up a Euro 2024 playoff final versus Poland on Tuesday.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Wales and Finland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wales

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Wales 1-1 Turkey
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Turkey8717
2Croatia8916
3Wales8012
4Armenia8-28
5Latvia8-143

Finland

All competitions
Last Game: San Marino 1-2 Finland
Monday, November 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Wales win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for Finland has a probability of 34.33% and a draw has a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wales win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Finland win is 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.99%).

Result
WalesDrawFinland
38.2% (1.191 1.19) 27.47% (-0.157 -0.16) 34.33% (-1.032 -1.03)
Both teams to score 49.28% (0.376 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.65% (0.515 0.52)56.35% (-0.51300000000001 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.62% (0.415 0.41)77.38% (-0.41200000000001 -0.41)
Wales Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.4% (0.95800000000001 0.96)28.6% (-0.956 -0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.6% (1.183 1.18)64.4% (-1.181 -1.18)
Finland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.02% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)30.98% (0.406 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.72% (-0.478 -0.48)67.28% (0.47999999999999 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Wales 38.2%
    Finland 34.33%
    Draw 27.47%
WalesDrawFinland
1-0 @ 11.09% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.14% (0.18 0.18)
2-0 @ 6.94% (0.229 0.23)
3-1 @ 3.4% (0.163 0.16)
3-0 @ 2.9% (0.169 0.17)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.074 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.077 0.08)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 38.2%
1-1 @ 12.99% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.86% (-0.176 -0.18)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.47%
0-1 @ 10.38% (-0.32 -0.32)
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-2 @ 6.08% (-0.261 -0.26)
1-3 @ 2.97% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.38% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 34.33%

How you voted: Wales vs Finland

Wales
72.8%
Draw
12.3%
Finland
14.9%
195
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2021 5pm
Friendlies 1
Finland
0-0
Wales
Kamara (55')
Sheehan (65')
> Match Report
Nov 18, 2020 7.45pm
League B
Wales
3-1
Finland
Wilson (29'), James (46'), Moore (84')
Ampadu (76')
Pukki (63')
Uronen (12')
> Match Report
Sep 3, 2020 7.45pm
League B
Finland
0-1
Wales

Sparv (26'), Pukki (47'), Vaisanen (72')
Moore (80')
Morrell (36'), Roberts (69'), Wilson (86'), Moore (90+3')
> Match Report
Nov 16, 2013 6pm
International Friendlies
Wales
1-1
Finland
King (58')
King (78')
Riski (90')
Sparv (38')
> Match Report
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