MX23RW : Friday, March 22 02:36:41| >> :120:28136:28136:
Sao Tome and Principe national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Preliminary Round | 1st Leg
Mar 22, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade Municipal de Berkane
South Sudan national football team

Sao Tome
vs.
South Sudan

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Sao Tome & Principe and South Sudan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sao Tome 0-2 Namibia
Tuesday, November 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: South Sudan 0-0 Mauritania
Tuesday, November 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We say: Sao Tome & Principe 0-1 South Sudan

Sao Tome & Principe are coming into this match off the back of five consecutive defeats, during which time they failed to score a single goal while conceding 15. South Sudan have made it to the group-stage qualifiers in their last five attempts and are in decent form, having only lost once in their last three matches in all competitions. We feel the Bright Stars will win this match, albeit by a slender margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a South Sudan win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Sao Tome & Principe has a probability of 31.83% and a draw has a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Sudan win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Sao Tome & Principe win is 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.52%).

Result
Sao Tome & PrincipeDrawSouth Sudan
31.83% (1.083 1.08) 26.33% (0.279 0.28) 41.83% (-1.363 -1.36)
Both teams to score 52.19% (-0.441 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.63% (-0.77200000000001 -0.77)52.36% (0.77099999999999 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.95% (-0.666 -0.67)74.05% (0.66499999999999 0.66)
Sao Tome & Principe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.36% (0.354 0.35)30.63% (-0.356 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.12% (0.419 0.42)66.88% (-0.42 -0.42)
South Sudan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.24% (-1.025 -1.03)24.75% (1.024 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.68% (-1.451 -1.45)59.31% (1.449 1.45)
Score Analysis
    Sao Tome & Principe 31.83%
    South Sudan 41.83%
    Draw 26.33%
Sao Tome & PrincipeDrawSouth Sudan
1-0 @ 8.97% (0.356 0.36)
2-1 @ 7.41% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 5.31% (0.26 0.26)
3-1 @ 2.92% (0.087 0.09)
3-0 @ 2.09% (0.122 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 31.83%
1-1 @ 12.52% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 7.58% (0.229 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 10.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.74% (-0.169 -0.17)
0-2 @ 7.39% (-0.217 -0.22)
1-3 @ 4.07% (-0.203 -0.2)
0-3 @ 3.44% (-0.208 -0.21)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-4 @ 1.2% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 41.83%

Who will win Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Sao Tome and South Sudan?

Sao Tome & Principe
Draw
South Sudan
Sao Tome & Principe
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
South Sudan
100%
1
rhs 2.0
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