MX23RW : Friday, March 22 02:41:14| >> :120:6299:6299:
Ecuador national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 22, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Red Bull Arena, Harrison
Guatemala national football team

Ecuador
2 - 0
Guatemala

Yeboah (8'), Plata (86')
Franco (85'), Plata (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Ecuador and Guatemala, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Ecuador 1-0 Chile
Tuesday, November 21 at 11.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Guatemala 0-1 Iceland
Sunday, January 14 at 12am in International Friendlies

We said: Ecuador 1-0 Guatemala

Ecuador have shown tremendous discipline defensively so far in their World Cup qualifying campaign and have done equally well in close games. In contrast, the Guatemalans are struggling to find consistency throughout a 90-minute contest, which is why we are giving the South Americans the edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ecuador win with a probability of 57.51%. A draw has a probability of 25.3% and a win for Guatemala has a probability of 17.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.42%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Guatemala win it is 0-1 (7.34%).

Result
EcuadorDrawGuatemala
57.51% (0.0039999999999978 0) 25.32% (0.0040000000000013 0) 17.17% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 40.7% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.06% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)59.93% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.81% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)80.19% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.08% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)20.92% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.35% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)53.65% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Guatemala Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.47% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)48.53% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.38% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)83.61% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Ecuador 57.5%
    Guatemala 17.17%
    Draw 25.32%
EcuadorDrawGuatemala
1-0 @ 15.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 12.42%
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 6.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.69% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-0 @ 2.53%
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 57.5%
1-1 @ 11.48%
0-0 @ 10.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 25.32%
0-1 @ 7.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 4.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 2.65% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 17.17%

How you voted: Ecuador vs Guatemala

Ecuador
70.2%
Draw
5.3%
Guatemala
24.6%
57
Head to Head
Sep 12, 2018 2.05am
International Friendlies
Ecuador
2-0
Guatemala
Valencia (82'), Ibarra (85')
Franco (54'), Carlos Paredes (66'), Guerrero (68')
rhs 2.0
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