Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pontypridd Town AFC would win this match.