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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 50.27%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Watford had a probability of 23.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Watford |
50.27% ( 0.51) | 26.24% ( -0.15) | 23.48% ( -0.36) |
Both teams to score 46.71% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.34% ( 0.25) | 56.66% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.38% ( 0.2) | 77.62% ( -0.2) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.38% ( 0.33) | 22.62% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.77% ( 0.49) | 56.23% ( -0.49) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.36% ( -0.2) | 39.64% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.68% ( -0.18) | 76.32% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 13.32% 2-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.81% Total : 50.27% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0) Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.24% | 0-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.39% Total : 23.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 70 | 28 | 42 | 82 |
2 | Leicester CityLeicester | 37 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 33 | 41 | 82 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 80 | 49 | 31 | 81 |
4 | Southampton | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 73 | 47 | 26 | 73 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 66 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 61 |
7 | Hull City | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 58 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 37 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 57 |
9 | Preston North EndPreston | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 56 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 53 | 52 | 1 | 54 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 38 | 16 | 5 | 17 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 53 |
12 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 48 |
13 | Watford | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 48 |
14 | Bristol City | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 47 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 46 |
16 | Millwall | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 43 |
17 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 42 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 41 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 41 |
20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 40 |
21 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 59 | -17 | 39 |
22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 39 |
23 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 30 | 61 | -31 | 38 |
24 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 77 | -47 | 20 |
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