Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for Western United had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.53%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Adelaide United | Draw | Western United |
47.07% ( -1.4) | 22.36% ( -0.13) | 30.57% ( 1.52) |
Both teams to score 65.44% ( 1.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.22% ( 1.56) | 34.78% ( -1.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.26% ( 1.73) | 56.74% ( -1.73) |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.71% ( 0.09) | 15.29% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.99% ( 0.17) | 44.01% ( -0.17) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.26% ( 1.7) | 22.74% ( -1.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.58% ( 2.46) | 56.42% ( -2.46) |
Score Analysis |
Adelaide United | Draw | Western United |
2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.51) 2-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.46) 3-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.27) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.12) 5-1 @ 1% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.17% Total : 47.07% | 1-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.28) 3-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.36% | 1-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.26) 2-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.25) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.15) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.15) Other @ 3.17% Total : 30.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 61 | 32 | 29 | 55 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 44 |
3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 42 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 38 |
6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 35 |
7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 32 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 30 |
9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 29 |
11 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 28 |
12 | Macarthur | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 26 |
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