Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Estoril Praia |
44.56% ( -0.37) | 26.07% ( 0.13) | 29.38% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 51.88% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.76% ( -0.44) | 52.24% ( 0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.06% ( -0.38) | 73.94% ( 0.38) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.65% ( -0.36) | 23.35% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.68% ( -0.53) | 57.32% ( 0.53) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.69% ( -0.06) | 32.31% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.19% ( -0.06) | 68.81% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 10.97% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.88% Total : 44.55% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.66% Total : 29.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 34 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 82 | 20 | 62 | 87 |
2 | Porto | 34 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 73 | 22 | 51 | 85 |
3 | Braga | 34 | 25 | 3 | 6 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 78 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 71 | 32 | 39 | 74 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 54 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 53 |
7 | ChavesChaves | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 44 |
9 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 44 |
10 | Casa Pia | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 41 |
11 | Vizela | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 40 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 37 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 35 |
15 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 34 |
16 | Maritimo | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 32 | 63 | -31 | 26 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 26 | 62 | -36 | 23 |
R | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 26 | 58 | -32 | 22 |
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