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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Maritimo
Pacos de Ferreira logo
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27
Apr 8, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Estoril
Braga
4 - 1
Estoril
Ruiz (17'), Pizzi (70'), Medeiros (82' pen.), Mendes (90+4')
Horta (42'), Horta (47'), Ruiz (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Eduardo (48')
Araujo (46'), Geraldes (75')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chaves 1-2 Braga
Sunday, April 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 1-0 Gil Vicente
Friday, March 31 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 2-0 Estoril Praia

Off the back of snapping their losing streak, Estoril Praia will head into the weekend with renewed belief as they look to steer clear of the danger zone. However, they face an in-form Braga side who are unbeaten in each of their last nine meetings since September 2015. Os Arcebispos know that they cannot afford to slip up in their race to leapfrog Porto and we are backing them to come away with all three points in front of their home fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 67.85%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 12.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawEstoril Praia
67.85% (-0.44499999999999 -0.44) 19.56% (0.212 0.21) 12.59% (0.228 0.23)
Both teams to score 46.36% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.61% (-0.36 -0.36)46.39% (0.355 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.32% (-0.34 -0.34)68.67% (0.33499999999999 0.33)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.33% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)12.66% (0.231 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.17% (-0.483 -0.48)38.83% (0.479 0.48)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.08% (0.157 0.16)46.91% (-0.162 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.57% (0.119 0.12)82.42% (-0.124 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Braga 67.84%
    Estoril Praia 12.59%
    Draw 19.56%
BragaDrawEstoril Praia
2-0 @ 12.68% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 12.27% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.74% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-1 @ 6.61% (-0.047999999999999 -0.05)
4-0 @ 4.51% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
4-1 @ 3.42% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.87% (-0.056 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.41% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 67.84%
1-1 @ 9.29% (0.099 0.1)
0-0 @ 5.94% (0.089 0.09)
2-2 @ 3.63% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 19.56%
0-1 @ 4.5% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
1-2 @ 3.52% (0.053 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.7% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 0.92% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 12.59%

How you voted: Braga vs Estoril

Braga
90.5%
Draw
9.5%
Estoril Praia
0.0%
21
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 6pm
Estoril
0-2
Braga

Serginho (69')
Elmusrati (10'), Oliveira (31')
Apr 18, 2022 8.30pm
Dec 5, 2021 8.30pm
Braga
2-0
Estoril
Horta (34', 39')
Oliveira (13'), Silva (15'), Mineiro (20'), Gorby (81'), Silva (90+6')
Mineiro (65')

Fonte (49'), Soria (57'), Baro (71')
Mar 3, 2018 8.30pm
Estoril
0-6
Braga

Kleber (22'), Allano (47'), Dankler (89')
Eduardo (7'), Paulinho (44', 68'), Horta (45', 93'), Martins (77')
Silva (36')
Oct 1, 2017 5.15pm
Braga
6-0
Estoril
Sousa (17'), Silva (41'), Martins (54'), Xadas (57'), Horta (61', 83')

Eduardo (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica33273379205984
2Porto33264370224882
3Braga33243672304275
4Sporting Lisbon33225669313871
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes33165123436-253
6AroucaArouca33149103437-351
7ChavesChaves331210113436-246
8FamalicaoFamalicao33134163745-843
9Casa Pia33118143139-841
10BoavistaBoavista33118143953-1441
11Vizela33117153336-340
12Rio AveRio Ave33109143441-739
13PortimonensePortimonense33104192546-2134
14Gil Vicente3397173141-1034
15Estoril PraiaEstoril3395193048-1832
16Maritimo3375213160-2926
17Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira3365222659-3323
18Santa ClaraSanta Clara3357212655-2922

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