As impressive as Empoli have been on their own patch of late, Zanetti's side are still lacking the formula for success on the road and will hardly be helped by the absence of their skipper Bandinelli.
With neither side displaying rock-solid tendencies at the back, a third successive low-scoring draw could be on the cards, which may or may not see Hellas Verona live to fight another day.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 36.14%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
0.62) 
-0.08) 
