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Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 21, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Spezia Calcio logo
Lecce
0 - 0
Spezia

Umtiti (49'), Blin (89')
FT

Wisniewski (59'), Esposito (86'), N'Zola (88')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 2-2 Lecce
Friday, May 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 2-0 AC Milan
Saturday, May 13 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-0 Spezia

Lecce can celebrate their 600th Serie A fixture by securing a crucial win that could effectively keep them in the top flight. Spezia do not travel well - 11 losses from 17 away games attest to that - and they could be left hoping Verona do not capitalise on another slip-up at Via del Mare. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 47.7%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 26.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
LecceDrawSpezia
47.7% (0.34 0.34) 26.23% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 26.07% (-0.288 -0.29)
Both teams to score 49.13% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.29% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)54.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.97% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)76.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.05% (0.15299999999999 0.15)22.94% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.28% (0.225 0.23)56.72% (-0.222 -0.22)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.76% (-0.248 -0.25)36.24% (0.25 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.98% (-0.251 -0.25)73.02% (0.25399999999999 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 47.7%
    Spezia 26.07%
    Draw 26.22%
LecceDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 12.24% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.15% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.01% (0.083 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.49% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.42% (0.061 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 47.7%
1-1 @ 12.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.32% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 8.44% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.31% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 26.07%

How you voted: Lecce vs Spezia

Lecce
88.9%
Draw
7.4%
Spezia
3.7%
27
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2023 2pm
Dec 16, 2021 5pm
Second Round
Spezia
0-2
Lecce

Strelec (6'), N'Zola (30'), Nguiamba (79')
Listkowski (43'), Calabresi (55')
Dermaku (17'), Barreca (35'), Rodriguez (49'), Blin (90+2')
May 11, 2019 2pm
gameweek 38
Lecce
2-1
Spezia
Petriccione (9'), La Mantia (27')
Lucioni (13')
Capradossi (83')
Ricci (52')
Dec 30, 2018 8pm
gameweek 19
Spezia
1-1
Lecce
Ricci (13' pen.)
Vignali (41'), Mora (48'), Capradossi (64')
Scavone (68')
Bovo (28'), Petriccione (55'), Palombi (72'), Venuti (74')
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli37276475284787
2Lazio37218858302871
3Inter Milan372231270422869
4AC Milan371910861421967
5Atalanta BCAtalanta371871261461561
6Roma371791148371160
7Juventus372161055332259
8Torino371411124240253
9Fiorentina371411125042853
10Monza371410134647-152
11Bologna371312125047351
12Udinese371113134747046
13SassuoloSassuolo37129164658-1245
14Empoli371013143747-1043
15Salernitana37915134860-1242
16Lecce37812173143-1236
17SpeziaSpezia37613183060-3031
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona37710203056-2631
19Cremonese37412213469-3524
RSampdoria37310242469-4519

Real Madrid Until The End
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