Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 51.59%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 24.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Troyes | Draw | Strasbourg |
24.79% ( 1.3) | 23.62% ( 0.77) | 51.59% ( -2.08) |
Both teams to score 56.03% ( -1.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.95% ( -2.17) | 45.05% ( 2.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.6% ( -2.12) | 67.4% ( 2.12) |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.9% ( -0.09) | 32.09% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.43% ( -0.1) | 68.57% ( 0.09) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.51% ( -1.54) | 17.48% ( 1.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.02% ( -2.75) | 47.97% ( 2.75) |
Score Analysis |
Troyes | Draw | Strasbourg |
1-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.56) 2-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.61% Total : 24.79% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.45) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.62% | 0-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 9.7% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 5.64% ( -0.36) 0-3 @ 4.96% ( -0.31) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.21) 1-4 @ 2.46% ( -0.3) 0-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.25) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.17) Other @ 3.76% Total : 51.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |