Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-0 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greuther Furth would win this match.
