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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 68.68%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 13.56%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Cambuur win it was 2-1 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Cambuur | Draw | Ajax |
13.56% ( -0.06) | 17.76% ( 0.11) | 68.68% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 55.6% ( -0.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.28% ( -0.69) | 35.71% ( 0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.22% ( -0.76) | 57.78% ( 0.76) |
Cambuur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.4% ( -0.54) | 38.59% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.66% ( -0.52) | 75.34% ( 0.51) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.55% ( -0.19) | 9.45% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.26% ( -0.46) | 31.74% ( 0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Cambuur | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.84% Total : 13.56% | 1-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.76% | 0-2 @ 10.14% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 9.66% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.22) 0-3 @ 7.98% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 7.6% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 4.71% ( -0) 1-4 @ 4.48% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.08) 0-5 @ 2.22% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.06) 1-5 @ 2.12% ( -0.05) 2-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.4% Total : 68.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Feyenoord | 26 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 59 | 25 | 34 | 61 |
2 | Ajax | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 72 | 28 | 44 | 55 |
3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 67 | 31 | 36 | 53 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 53 |
5 | FC Twente | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 22 | 47 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 46 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 38 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 26 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 34 |
9 | Heerenveen | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 34 |
10 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 32 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 29 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
13 | FC VolendamVolendam | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 26 |
14 | Vitesse | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 46 | -16 | 24 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 26 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 25 | 61 | -36 | 23 |
16 | EmmenEmmen | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 21 |
17 | Groningen | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 25 | 52 | -27 | 17 |
18 | Cambuur | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 20 | 49 | -29 | 16 |
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