Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 69.61%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 12.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 1-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.28%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Bologna |
69.61% ( 1.39) | 17.7% ( -0.46) | 12.69% ( -0.93) |
Both teams to score 53.14% ( -1.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.39% ( -0.1) | 37.61% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.16% ( -0.11) | 59.84% ( 0.11) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.27% ( 0.31) | 9.73% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.6% ( 0.71) | 32.4% ( -0.71) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.87% ( -1.46) | 41.13% ( 1.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.33% ( -1.32) | 77.67% ( 1.32) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Bologna |
2-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.28) 4-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.16) 5-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.06% Total : 69.61% | 1-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 4% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.7% | 1-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.23) 0-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.52% Total : 12.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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