Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 66.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 14.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
Result | ||
Barcelona | Draw | Sevilla |
66.54% ( 2.03) | 19.15% ( -0.65) | 14.3% ( -1.37) |
Both teams to score 52.57% ( -1.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.35% ( 0.13) | 40.65% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.96% ( 0.13) | 63.03% ( -0.13) |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.66% ( 0.58) | 11.34% ( -0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.97% ( 1.25) | 36.03% ( -1.25) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.29% ( -1.77) | 40.71% ( 1.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.71% ( -1.63) | 77.29% ( 1.63) |
Score Analysis |
Barcelona | Draw | Sevilla |
2-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.44) 1-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.49) 3-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.36) 4-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.2) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.94% Total : 66.53% | 1-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.15% | 0-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.17) Other @ 1.69% Total : 14.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
> La Liga Full Table |