Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 36.92%. A win for Girona had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-0 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Valencia |
35.4% ( 0.05) | 27.68% ( 0.33) | 36.92% ( -0.38) |
Both teams to score 48.76% ( -1.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.94% ( -1.27) | 57.05% ( 1.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.06% ( -1.03) | 77.94% ( 1.03) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.36% ( -0.6) | 30.64% ( 0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.11% ( -0.72) | 66.89% ( 0.72) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.3% ( -0.85) | 29.7% ( 0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.24% ( -1.05) | 65.76% ( 1.05) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.24% Total : 35.4% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.67% | 0-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.43% Total : 36.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
> La Liga Full Table |