Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Elche had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result | ||
Elche | Draw | Girona |
31.18% ( -0.27) | 27.31% ( -0.23) | 41.51% ( 0.5) |
Both teams to score 48.98% ( 0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.64% ( 0.8) | 56.36% ( -0.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.61% ( 0.64) | 77.38% ( -0.64) |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.86% ( 0.23) | 33.13% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.26% ( 0.25) | 69.73% ( -0.25) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.25% ( 0.64) | 26.75% ( -0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.98% ( 0.84) | 62.02% ( -0.84) |
Score Analysis |
Elche | Draw | Girona |
1-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 7.13% 2-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.18% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.31% | 0-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.05% Total : 41.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
> La Liga Full Table |