Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 54.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Bermuda had a probability of 21.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Bermuda win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Suriname would win this match.
