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Lebanon national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Jun 5, 2021 at 7am UK
 
Sri Lanka national football team
Lebanon
3 - 2
Sri Lanka
Oumari (11', 44'), Kadouh (17')
El-Helwe (62')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Waseem Razeek (10', 61' pen.)
Rathnayake (20')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Second Round clash between Lebanon and Sri Lanka.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lebanon win with a probability of 84.44%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Sri Lanka had a probability of 3.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lebanon win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.59%) and 1-0 (13.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.19%), while for a Sri Lanka win it was 0-1 (2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lebanon would win this match.

Result
LebanonDrawSri Lanka
84.44%11.7%3.85%
Both teams to score 30.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.51%42.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.1%64.9%
Lebanon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.53%7.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.15%26.85%
Sri Lanka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
32.87%67.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.11%93.88%
Score Analysis
    Lebanon 84.42%
    Sri Lanka 3.85%
    Draw 11.71%
LebanonDrawSri Lanka
2-0 @ 16.87%
3-0 @ 14.59%
1-0 @ 13.01%
4-0 @ 9.47%
2-1 @ 6.73%
3-1 @ 5.82%
5-0 @ 4.91%
4-1 @ 3.77%
6-0 @ 2.13%
5-1 @ 1.96%
3-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 4%
Total : 84.42%
1-1 @ 5.19%
0-0 @ 5.01%
2-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 11.71%
0-1 @ 2%
1-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 3.85%

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