Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grenada win with a probability of 42.76%. A win for Montserrat had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grenada win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Montserrat win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
