Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 57.35%. A win for Birmingham City Women had a probability of 21.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.3%) and 1-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Birmingham City Women win was 1-2 (5.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.