Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.