Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 42.23%. A win for Gaziantep had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Gaziantep win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.