Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ternana and Lecce.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ascoli 4-1 Ternana
Friday, May 6 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Friday, May 6 at 7.30pm in Serie B
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Perugia | 38 | 8 | 58 |
| 10 | Ternana | 38 | -3 | 54 |
| 11 | Cittadella | 38 | 2 | 52 |
Last Game: Lecce 1-0 Pordenone
Friday, May 6 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Friday, May 6 at 7.30pm in Serie B
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Lecce | 38 | 28 | 71 |
| 2 | Cremonese | 38 | 18 | 69 |
| 3 | Monza | 38 | 22 | 67 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Ternana win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ternana | Draw | Lecce |
| 28.85% | 26.07% | 45.09% |
| Both teams to score 51.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
