Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for CSKA Moscow had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ural Yekaterinburg would win this match.