Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Khimki had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Khimki win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
