Australia Women 0-1 Sweden Women - Olympic Games Women's Football Semi-Finals - Athletics

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden Women win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Australia Women had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.15%) and 0-1 (4.69%). The likeliest Australia Women win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sweden Women would win this match.

Result
Australia Women	Draw	Sweden Women
36.78%	21.53%	41.69%

Both teams to score 71.11%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.65%

28.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.82%

49.18%

Australia Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.37%

16.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.54%

46.46%

Sweden Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.3%

14.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.11%

42.89%

Score Analysis

Australia Women 36.78%

Sweden Women 41.69%

Draw 21.53%

Australia Women	Draw	Sweden Women
2-1 @ 7.54% 3-1 @ 4.51% 1-0 @ 4.39% 3-2 @ 4.32% 2-0 @ 3.94% 3-0 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 2.02% 4-2 @ 1.94% 4-3 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.47% Total : 36.78%	1-1 @ 8.41% 2-2 @ 7.23% 3-3 @ 2.76% 0-0 @ 2.44% Other @ 0.69% Total : 21.53%	1-2 @ 8.06% 1-3 @ 5.15% 0-1 @ 4.69% 2-3 @ 4.62% 0-2 @ 4.49% 0-3 @ 2.87% 1-4 @ 2.47% 2-4 @ 2.22% 0-4 @ 1.38% 3-4 @ 1.33% 1-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.48% Total : 41.69%