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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Finland national football team
Nations League | League B
Jun 7, 2022 at 5pm UK
 
Montenegro national football team

Finland
2 - 0
Montenegro

Pohjanpalo (31', 38')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Sipcic (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Finland and Montenegro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Finland

Last Six:
Last Game: Finland 2-0 Montenegro
Tuesday, June 7 at 5pm in Nations League
Next Game: Romania vs. Finland
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Montenegro

Last Six:
Last Game: Finland 2-0 Montenegro
Tuesday, June 7 at 5pm in Nations League
Next Game: Montenegro vs. Bosnia H'vina
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Finland 1-0 Montenegro

 Although Finland were denied a win over Bosnia-Herzegovina in dramatic circumstances, they have won five of their seven home matches in the Nations League, and we think that they will edge out a Montenegro side, who have lost their last two away games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Montenegro had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Montenegro win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Finland would win this match.

Result
FinlandDrawMontenegro
45.71% (0.059999999999995 0.06) 24.41% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 29.88% (-0.041 -0.04)
Both teams to score 57.6% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.1% (0.076000000000001 0.08)44.9% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.74% (0.070999999999998 0.07)67.26% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)
Finland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.23% (0.051999999999992 0.05)19.77% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.18% (0.090999999999994 0.09)51.81% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Montenegro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.79% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)28.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.1% (0.012999999999998 0.01)63.9% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Finland 45.71%
    Montenegro 29.88%
    Draw 24.41%
FinlandDrawMontenegro
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.04% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.33% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.01% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.96% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.03% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 45.71%
1-1 @ 11.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 5.58% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.41%
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.06% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.05% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.88% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 29.88%

How you voted: Finland vs Montenegro

Finland
74.3%
Draw
13.3%
Montenegro
12.4%
218
rhs 2.0
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