The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Cyprus and Estonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cyprus 0-0 N. Ireland
Sunday, June 5 at 5pm in Nations League
Sunday, June 5 at 5pm in Nations League
Next Game: Greece vs. Cyprus
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League C2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Greece | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Cyprus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Argentina 5-0 Estonia
Sunday, June 5 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Sunday, June 5 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Malta vs. Estonia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League D2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Malta | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Cyprus 2-1 Estonia
It really is difficult to separate these two sides as both the world rankings and Thursday's first leg show. We think that it could go all the way to extra time and possibly even penalties, but are backing Cyprus to make their home advantage count and relegate Estonia. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cyprus win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Estonia had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cyprus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Estonia win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cyprus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cyprus | Draw | Estonia |
| 38.79% | 26.69% | 34.52% |
| Both teams to score 51.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
