Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 49.92%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 25.1% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Altrincham |
49.92% | 24.98% | 25.1% |
Both teams to score 51.99% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.45% | 50.54% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.53% | 72.46% |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.74% | 20.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.39% | 52.61% |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.2% | 34.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.47% | 71.53% |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Altrincham |
1-0 @ 11.25% 2-1 @ 9.49% 2-0 @ 8.99% 3-1 @ 5.05% 3-0 @ 4.78% 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 2.02% 4-0 @ 1.91% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.71% Total : 49.91% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 7.05% 2-2 @ 5.01% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 7.44% 1-2 @ 6.27% 0-2 @ 3.93% 1-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.76% 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.11% Total : 25.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Chesterfield | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 34 | 34 | 68 |
2 | Bromley | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 56 |
3 | Barnet | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 55 |
4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 46 |
5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 43 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 42 |
7 | Rochdale | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 41 |
8 | Gateshead | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 40 |
9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 40 |
10 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 47 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Eastleigh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 37 |
12 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 34 |
13 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 33 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 32 |
15 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 31 |
17 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 30 |
18 | York City | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 30 |
19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 28 |
20 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 27 |
21 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 27 |
22 | Fylde | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 25 |
23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 24 |
24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 20 |
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