Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 45.28%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.